Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +39 (83-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Toussaint | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Willoughby | 31 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 29 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 27 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Kornegay-Lucas | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Toi | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| D. Lawson | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Horton | 10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 33 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| C. Williams | 32 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| C. Dangerfield | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Makurat | 29 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Irwin | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| A. Griffin | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Bent | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Adebayo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter