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2019-12-19

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 62.8% 37.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.2% 36.8% - โœ—

Actual: Auburn Tigers +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Bryce * 37 7-15 3-4 4-4 11 0 3 0 2 21 18 -
M. Johnson * 30 6-11 1-3 4-10 6 10 3 0 5 17 20 -
J. Hellems * 23 1-9 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 -4 -
B. Beverly * 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 2 -2 -
M. Bates * 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 5 7 -
DJ Funderburk 30 5-8 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 1 5 12 7 -
P. Andree 28 3-8 3-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
D. Daniels 20 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 4 4 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Samir Doughty 31 6-12 3-5 9-12 2 4 4 1 5 24 18 -
Danjel Purifoy 26 2-6 0-2 1-2 7 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
Austin Wiley 19 4-4 0-0 2-2 8 1 3 3 1 10 20 -
Jamal Johnson 17 2-4 2-4 2-3 0 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
J'Von McCormick * 31 5-12 0-2 4-6 4 3 1 0 3 14 7 -
Isaac Okoro * 28 3-6 0-0 3-7 3 2 1 0 4 9 5 -
Anfernee McLemore 21 2-7 1-4 1-2 5 0 1 1 1 6 5 -
Allen Flanigan 21 1-5 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Dev. Cambridge 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter