Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Bryce * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-10 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J. Hellems * | 23 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Bates * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P. Andree | 28 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Daniels | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Doughty | 31 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 9-12 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 18 | - |
| D. Purifoy | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Wiley | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| J. Johnson | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. McCormick * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| I. Okoro * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. McLemore | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Flanigan | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter