Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson * | 39 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 37 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Hellems * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Bates * | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Daniels | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Andree | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Dixon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ellis | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Harris | 23 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Baugh | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Thomas | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| I. Maurice | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Achiuwa * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| A. Lomax | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| M. Dandridge | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hardaway | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter