Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 38 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 5 | - |
| L. Kimble * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| M. Williams * | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. McMahon | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| S. Enoch | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Samuell Williamson | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Perry | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Orbaugh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Slazinski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Oddo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Forrest * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Raiquan Gray * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Malik Osborne * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Williams | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| RayQuan Evans | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dominik Olejniczak | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Balsa Koprivica | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Harrison Prieto | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Miles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Light | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Lindner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nathanael Jack | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter