Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -20 (57-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Enoch * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Kimble * | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Perry * | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. McMahon | 33 | 8-12 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| S. Williamson | 29 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Johnson | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Nickelberry | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| DJ Funderburk * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Hellems * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Beverly | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Bates | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Andree | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter