Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -13 (65-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Forrest * | 34 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Vassell * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Osborne * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Gray * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Polite * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M.J. Walker | 28 | 9-13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| P. Williams | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Evans | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Olejniczak | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 38 | 11-15 | 5-6 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 23 | - |
| L. Kimble * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| S. Enoch * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Perry * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson | 19 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Williams | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. McMahon | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| S. Williamson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Nickelberry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Igiehon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter