Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (57-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 40 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| L. Kimble * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| S. Enoch * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. McMahon | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Williamson | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Perry | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Williams | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Key | 37 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Diakite | 34 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Huff | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Morsell | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Woldetensae * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter