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2020-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 75.2% 24.8% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 80.7% 19.3% -
Efficiency 95.3% 4.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.0% 11.0% -
Log Adjusted 89.1% 10.9% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -2 (44-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Huff 37 7-16 3-7 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 17 11 -
B. Key 37 2-7 0-2 1-2 8 2 0 1 0 5 9 -
M. Diakite 34 6-13 0-1 2-2 10 2 0 1 3 14 11 -
K. Stattmann 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
C. Morsell 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Woldetensae * 36 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 -
K. Clark * 29 2-8 1-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 4 7 0 -
F. Caffaro 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vasiljevic * 32 2-10 2-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 1 -
K. Stone * 31 3-6 2-4 0-0 7 1 4 2 1 8 15 -
I. Wong * 28 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 0 -5 -
C. Lykes * 25 7-12 2-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 16 5 -
R. Miller Jr. * 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 6 8 -
S. Waardenburg 27 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
H. Beverly 18 3-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
K. McGusty 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter