Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diakite | 40 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| B. Key | 36 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Huff | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| C. Morsell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Clark * | 40 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 20 | - |
| T. Woldetensae * | 38 | 10-13 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 37 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Kimble * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Enoch * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Perry * | 19 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Johnson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. McMahon | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Williamson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter