Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vassell * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Forrest * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Osborne * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Gray * | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Polite | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Koprivica | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Wilkes | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| R. Evans | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Olejniczak | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diakite | 37 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| B. Key | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Huff | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| C. Morsell | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Woldetensae * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Coleman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter