Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +4 (54-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Key | 36 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Diakite | 32 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Huff | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Morsell | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -5 | - |
| T. Woldetensae | 32 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Coleman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Trent Forrest * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Malik Osborne * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Raiquan Gray * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 20 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Patrick Williams | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dominik Olejniczak | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| RayQuan Evans | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter