Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.8% | 22.2% | -6.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +2 (52-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Cassius Stanley * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Vernon Carey * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Wendell Moore * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Matthew Hurt * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jack White | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joey Baker | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diakite | 38 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| B. Key | 33 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Huff | 29 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 27 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Morsell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Clark * | 39 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Woldetensae * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter