Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +34 (94-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mooney | 28 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Prentiss Hubb * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Gibbs * | 29 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Juwan Durham * | 23 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Rex Pflueger * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dane Goodwin | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nate Laszewski | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Elijah Morgan | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 33 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire * | 31 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Matthew Hurt * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Vernon Carey * | 24 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Wendell Moore * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 22 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Joey Baker | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jack White | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Buckmire | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter