Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Trent Forrest * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Malik Osborne * | 23 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Raiquan Gray * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Williams | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dominik Olejniczak | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| RayQuan Evans | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Balsa Koprivica | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Cassius Stanley * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire * | 25 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Wendell Moore * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Vernon Carey * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Matthew Hurt | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Joey Baker | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jack White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter