Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -2 (96-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 42 | 11-25 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Cassius Stanley * | 36 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Wendell Moore * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Vernon Carey * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jack White * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joey Baker | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matthew Hurt | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walker Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Cole Anthony * | 43 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 36 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Platek * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Christian Keeling | 26 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Justin Pierce | 20 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
* = starter