Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.3% | 16.7% | -8.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -9 (88-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Vernon Carey * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Matthew Hurt * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Cassius Stanley * | 26 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Wendell Moore | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 15 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jack White | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Elijah Hughes * | 40 | 6-19 | 1-9 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Buddy Boeheim * | 40 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Marek Dolezaj * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Joseph Girard * | 36 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 6-8 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Bourama Sidibe * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Howard Washington | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter