Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✗ (35.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays -31 (52-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Schakel * | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Flynn * | 29 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| K. Feagin * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 19 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| T. Pulliam | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Arop | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Seiko | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Mensah | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Zegarowski * | 32 | 3-16 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -9 | - |
| M. Ballock * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Alexander * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| C. Bishop * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Jefferson * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Mitchell | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Jones | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Canfield | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Windham | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Scurry | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter