Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrique Jones * | 36 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Zach Freemantle * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Paul Scruggs * | 24 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7 | - |
| Jason Carter * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Quentin Goodin | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyky Tandy | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Bryce Moore | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McDermott * | 37 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Bryce Nze * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Thompson * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bryce Golden * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 25 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Tucker | 24 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Derrik Smits | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter