Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 43 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Nwora * | 39 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Perry * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. McMahon * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Enoch * | 26 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | - |
| L. Kimble | 29 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams | 19 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Williamson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hagans * | 43 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| T. Maxey * | 40 | 9-14 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| N. Richards * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| K. Brooks Jr. * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| EJ Montgomery * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| I. Quickley | 37 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| N. Sestina | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Whitney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Juzang | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter