Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +13 (94-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Brooks | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Harris | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Walker Miller | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shea Rush | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Robbie O'Han | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Ellis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan McAdoo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jeremiah Francis | 23 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Justin Pierce | 20 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Christian Keeling | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kispert * | 39 | 10-12 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Woolridge * | 36 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Joel Ayayi * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Filip Petrusev * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Killian Tillie * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Admon Gilder | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Drew Timme | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter