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2019-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 71.3% 28.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.8% 43.2% -
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% -
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange -14 (34-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Diakite 34 6-10 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 2 12 10 -
B. Key 33 3-10 0-5 1-2 10 2 2 0 2 7 9 -
J. Huff 29 5-6 0-0 1-2 12 1 0 0 2 11 16 -
C. Morsell 26 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 -
K. Stattmann 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 5 6 -
K. Clark * 40 3-9 2-8 2-2 11 7 1 0 3 10 17 -
T. Woldetensae * 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6 -
J. McKoy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dolezaj * 40 2-8 0-2 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
E. Hughes * 40 4-14 3-10 3-5 5 1 1 1 1 14 7 -
B. Boeheim * 32 3-12 1-8 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 7 -1 -
B. Sidibe * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Carey * 18 1-6 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Girard III 22 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 3 -3 -
Q. Guerrier 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -3 -
B. Goodine 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Edwards 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter