Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +40 (122-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Winchester | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Johnson | 25 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Robinson | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. LeBlanc | 21 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| A. Dye | 20 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Rivers | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Robinson | 16 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. Sandifer | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. James | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| S. Shaw | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Rodgers | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Rosario | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Taylor | 26 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| C. Bibby | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| J. Carter | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 28 | - |
| R. Jackson | 23 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| A. Espinoza-Hunter | 19 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Danberry | 19 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| X. Wiggins | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Matharu | 14 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Hemingway | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Mingo-Young | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Y. Morris | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter