Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.6 | ✓ (50.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +81 (124-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Burpo | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| L. Mayes | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| L. Hawthorne | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Gibson | 26 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| S. Hill | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Turley | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Mack | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Hunter | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| G. Swinton | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Blackburn | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Worley | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -5 | - |
| L. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Taylor | 22 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Danberry | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| J. Carter | 21 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 29 | - |
| C. Bibby | 19 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Mingo-Young | 18 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Jackson | 17 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| X. Wiggins | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hemingway | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Matharu | 14 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Y. Morris | 12 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Espinoza-Hunter | 10 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
* = starter