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2020-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 74.9% 25.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.7% 19.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonah Radebaugh * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 4 21 28 -
Bodie Hume * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 10 12 -
Trent Harris * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 14 15 -
Matt Johnson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 6 -
K. Jockuch * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 13 -
Kai Edwards 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 8 12 -
Sam Masten 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Rodrick McCobb 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Tre'Shon Smoots 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Izayah Mauriohooho-Le'afa * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 13 17 -
Bryce Fowler * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 10 13 -
Brandon Davis * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 2 0 2 9 19 -
Joshua Patton * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 14 18 -
Osi Nwachukwu * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
Ethan Esposito 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 10 14 -
Chibueze Jacobs 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 7 10 -
James Bridges 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jordan Cooke-Harper 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
William FitzPatrick 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter