Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harald Frey * | 36 | 10-20 | 6-10 | 8-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Amin Adamu * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mychael Paulo * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jubrile Belo * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Devin Kirby * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Borja Fernandez | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zeke Quinlan | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ladan Ricketts | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Finn Fleute | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Bellach | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zach Hobbs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Guliford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill | 38 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 17-18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Abel Porter | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Justin Bean | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Brock Miller | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Diogo Brito | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Alphonso Anderson | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kuba Karwowski * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Trevin Dorius | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sean Bairstow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter