Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Frey * | 36 | 10-20 | 6-10 | 8-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 21 | - |
| A. Adamu * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Paulo * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Belo * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. Kirby * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Fernandez | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Quinlan | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Ricketts | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| F. Fleute | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Bellach | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Hobbs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Guliford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Merrill | 38 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 17-18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| A. Porter | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Bean | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| B. Miller | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Brito | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Anderson | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Karwowski * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T. Dorius | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Bairstow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter