Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Pickett * | 38 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Dru Smith * | 37 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Xavier Pinson * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Reed Nikko * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Kobe Brown * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mitchell Smith | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tray Jackson | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Torrence Watson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Parker Braun | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 39 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Trendon Watford * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Emmitt Williams * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Darius Days * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Marlon Taylor | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marshall Graves | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aundre Hyatt | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter