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2020-02-08

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 โœ“ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers +1 (91-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skylar Mays * 42 8-16 4-10 10-10 7 8 3 0 1 30 31 -
Trendon Watford * 40 6-13 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 12 5 -
Javonte Smart * 39 4-8 2-4 2-3 1 2 0 1 0 12 8 -
Emmitt Williams * 28 4-8 1-2 2-4 5 1 1 0 1 11 9 -
Darius Days * 25 7-13 3-8 2-3 7 1 1 0 2 19 13 -
Marlon Taylor 34 2-6 2-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
Aundre Hyatt 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Marshall Graves 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Samir Doughty 40 10-19 5-11 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 26 11 -
Austin Wiley 29 2-4 0-0 6-8 13 2 0 1 2 10 20 -
Jamal Johnson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isaac Okoro * 43 3-13 1-6 2-2 6 1 0 2 1 9 4 -
J'Von McCormick * 41 7-15 5-10 4-7 9 9 2 0 3 23 25 -
Anfernee McLemore * 18 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -2 -
Dev. Cambridge 29 7-11 7-10 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 21 12 -
Allen Flanigan 16 1-6 0-3 0-1 2 1 0 1 0 2 0 -

* = starter