Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Doughty | 39 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| D. Purifoy | 37 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Wiley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. McCormick * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| I. Okoro * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. McLemore | 34 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Flanigan | 14 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 45 | 12-24 | 5-12 | 11-16 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 22 | - |
| D. Sills * | 40 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Whitt Jr. * | 40 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Bailey * | 35 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| R. Chaney * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Harris | 33 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| E. Henderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Cylla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter