Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samir Doughty | 31 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -9 | - |
| Danjel Purifoy | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Austin Wiley | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tyrell Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Babatunde Akingbola | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaac Okoro * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J'Von McCormick * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Allen Flanigan | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Okauru | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Britton Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adam Cottrell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Raymond Hawkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Barnes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kira Lewis * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| John Petty * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Alex Reese * | 21 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| James Bolden | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Javian Davis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Galin Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jaylen Forbes | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter