Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Doughty | 31 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -9 | - |
| D. Purifoy | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Wiley | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Johnson | 16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Akingbola | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Okoro * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. McCormick * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. McLemore | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Flanigan | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Okauru | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Cottrell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Hawkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Barnes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Lewis Jr. * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| J. Petty Jr. * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Shackelford * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| H. Jones * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| A. Reese * | 21 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Bolden | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Davis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| G. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Forbes | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter