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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kira Lewis * 37 4-11 0-1 2-3 8 4 0 1 2 10 10 -
John Petty * 35 6-15 3-8 1-2 7 1 0 4 2 16 11 -
Herb Jones * 34 8-20 0-2 2-5 7 4 1 0 1 18 9 -
Alex Reese * 22 2-5 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 6 6 -
Galin Smith * 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
James Bolden 18 2-11 0-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 4 -2 -
Jaden Shackelford 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Javian Davis 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
Jaylen Forbes 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ashton Hagans * 36 4-10 1-2 6-9 9 9 3 0 4 15 22 -
Tyrese Maxey * 35 6-17 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 13 -3 -
Nick Richards * 32 5-11 0-0 3-6 11 1 0 5 1 13 18 -
EJ Montgomery * 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 8 8 -
Keion Brooks * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Immanuel Quickley 34 6-10 5-6 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 19 17 -
Nate Sestina 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 6 8 -
Kahlil Whitney 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter