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2020-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% -
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lewis Jr. * 37 4-11 0-1 2-3 8 4 0 1 2 10 10 -
J. Petty Jr. * 35 6-15 3-8 1-2 7 1 0 4 2 16 11 -
H. Jones * 34 8-20 0-2 2-5 7 4 1 0 1 18 9 -
A. Reese * 22 2-5 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 6 6 -
G. Smith * 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
J. Bolden 18 2-11 0-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 4 -2 -
J. Shackelford 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Davis 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
J. Forbes 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hagans * 36 4-10 1-2 6-9 9 9 3 0 4 15 22 -
T. Maxey * 35 6-17 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 13 -3 -
N. Richards * 32 5-11 0-0 3-6 11 1 0 5 1 13 18 -
EJ Montgomery * 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 8 8 -
K. Brooks Jr. * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
I. Quickley 34 6-10 5-6 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 19 17 -
N. Sestina 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 6 8 -
K. Whitney 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter