Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -4.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -12 (68-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Doughty | 34 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Purifoy | 29 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Wiley | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Johnson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Okoro * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. McCormick * | 31 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 8-11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 16 | - |
| A. McLemore | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Flanigan | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Woodard II * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Perry * | 34 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A. Ado * | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 27 | - |
| N. Weatherspoon * | 31 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 0 | - |
| T. Carter * | 29 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Stewart Jr. | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Feazell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Molinar | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Oduro | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter