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2020-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 17.4% 82.6% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Log Adjusted 23.8% 76.2% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Washington Jr. * 37 5-12 2-6 4-4 5 1 1 0 2 16 9 -
K. Wesson * 35 1-8 0-2 6-6 6 1 1 1 1 8 8 -
A. Wesson * 32 4-8 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 3 9 1 -
CJ Walker * 31 7-10 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 3 14 6 -
L. Muhammad * 29 3-5 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 10 12 -
E.J. Liddell 29 4-9 1-2 3-4 4 0 2 0 0 12 9 -
J. Ahrens 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kithier 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
C. George 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Loyer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hoiberg 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Burke 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Izzo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Winston * 39 10-14 4-7 3-4 4 6 1 0 2 27 22 -
A. Henry * 37 5-13 0-3 2-3 3 3 2 2 0 12 9 -
X. Tillman Sr. * 35 6-10 0-1 3-4 9 5 2 2 2 15 21 -
R. Watts * 32 6-13 4-10 3-3 5 0 0 0 2 19 9 -
K. Ahrens * 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Hall 24 0-2 0-1 3-4 6 3 0 1 0 3 11 -
G. Brown 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Bingham Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter