Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Garza * | 40 | 12-21 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 18 | - |
| J. Wieskamp * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. McCaffery * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| J. Toussaint * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| B. Evelyn | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Kriener | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Pemsl | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Till | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu * | 40 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| A. Feliz * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Nichols * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Underwood * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Frazier | 30 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -3 | - |
| D. Williams | 26 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Griffin | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter