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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 2 2 12 25 -
Rob Phinisee * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 10 18 -
Justin Smith * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 8 16 -
Race Thompson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 6 -
Devonte Green 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 11 14 -
Armaan Franklin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dosunmu * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 17 20 -
K. Cockburn * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 6 1 15 25 -
A. Feliz * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 3 0 2 15 27 -
T. Frazier * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 6 -
D. Williams * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 11 -
G. Bezhanishvili 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 6 11 -
A. Griffin 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 8 -
K. Nichols 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter