Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Till | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Ash | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luka Garza * | 40 | 8-21 | 0-5 | 4-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Connor McCaffery * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Joe Wieskamp * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Joe Toussaint * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Kriener * | 18 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn | 27 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Cordell Pemsl | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kithier | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 37 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Rocket Watts * | 27 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Bingham * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Malik Hall | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julius Marble | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter