Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +12 (89-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Garza * | 40 | 14-22 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 25 | - |
| J. Wieskamp * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. McCaffery * | 35 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Toussaint * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Evelyn | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Kriener | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Till | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Ash | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Al Durham | 29 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Phinisee | 26 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 25 | 7-15 | 7-11 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| D. Davis | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Brunk | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Hunter | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Franklin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Jackson-Davis * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| R. Thompson | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
* = starter