Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -1 (69-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Loyer | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Kithier | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Henry * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| X. Tillman * | 33 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| R. Watts * | 29 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| C. Winston * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Brown | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Ahrens | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Hall | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Marble | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Williams * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8 | - |
| A. Feliz | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Griffin | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Nichols | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hamlin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter