Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foster Loyer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 36 | 5-18 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julius Marble | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Livers * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Eli Brooks * | 31 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Zavier Simpson * | 31 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jon Teske * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Johns | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| David Dejulius | 17 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Austin Davis | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter