Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (30.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +36 (104-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Garza * | 31 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Connor McCaffery * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joe Wieskamp * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Joe Toussaint * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Kriener | 19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cordell Pemsl | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Riley Till | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Austin Ash | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nicolas Hobbs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Baer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Dowuona | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eric Hunter * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Sasha Stefanovic * | 25 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Evan Boudreaux * | 25 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Trevion Williams * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jahaad Proctor | 21 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Matt Haarms | 19 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Thompson | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Aaron Wheeler | 17 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Tommy Luce | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Matt Frost | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Wulbrun | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter