Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 37 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Dosunmu * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Williams * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Feliz | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| K. Nichols | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Griffin | 19 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McCaffery * | 38 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 36 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| L. Garza * | 33 | 9-16 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18 | - |
| J. Wieskamp * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Toussaint * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Kriener | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Evelyn | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Pemsl | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Till | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter