Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +29 (79-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Spencer * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Robbie Beran * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Miller Kopp * | 25 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Pete Nance * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Young * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Boo Buie | 27 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A.J. Turner | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Greer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tino Malnati | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Tillman | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 26 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 26 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 16 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 14 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Conner George | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Julius Marble | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Steven Izzo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter