Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -18 (52-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kithier | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Rocket Watts * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Henry | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Julius Marble | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Braden Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Carr * | 39 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Gabe Kalscheur * | 36 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Daniel Oturu * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Payton Willis * | 32 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alihan Demir * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jarvis Omersa | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tre' Williams | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Michael Hurt | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Freeman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bryan Greenlee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Ihnen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter