Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -18 (52-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kithier | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| F. Loyer | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hoiberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Winston * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| X. Tillman * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| R. Watts * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| G. Brown * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Hall * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Henry | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Marble | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carr * | 39 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| G. Kalscheur * | 36 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Oturu * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| P. Willis * | 32 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Demir * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Omersa | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Williams | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Hurt | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Freeman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Greenlee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ihnen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter