Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | -1.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Tillman * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 23 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 27 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Bingham * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Malik Hall | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julius Marble | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Smith | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Joey Brunk | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rob Phinisee | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Al Durham | 24 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Armaan Franklin | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Devonte Green | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| De'Ron Davis | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jerome Hunter | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Race Thompson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
* = starter