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2020-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% -
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% -
Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Log Adjusted 19.3% 80.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -17 (62-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dosunmu * 37 8-12 0-2 2-2 4 11 0 0 2 18 19 -
T. Frazier * 34 5-7 5-7 6-6 1 0 0 0 2 21 13 -
K. Cockburn * 33 8-14 0-0 6-6 15 0 1 3 4 22 23 -
D. Williams * 23 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
G. Bezhanishvili * 22 3-5 2-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 10 11 -
A. Feliz 27 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 5 5 -
K. Nichols 16 1-4 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
J. Hamlin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Griffin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Jones 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Eastern * 37 7-15 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 14 6 -
S. Stefanovic * 33 2-6 0-2 5-6 0 2 2 0 1 9 6 -
E. Hunter Jr. * 32 2-8 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 -1 -
M. Haarms * 28 2-7 1-1 5-8 6 1 0 3 0 10 13 -
T. Williams * 25 5-10 0-0 2-5 3 2 0 0 1 12 6 -
I. Thompson 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
A. Wheeler 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Proctor 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Boudreaux 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter