Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +29 (71-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kithier | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Conner George | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -4 | - |
| Xavier Tillman * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Henry * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Bingham * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Malik Hall | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Julius Marble | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brock Washington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Dowuona | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Hunter * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Sasha Stefanovic * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Trevion Williams * | 26 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Wheeler * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Evan Boudreaux | 24 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Thompson | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jahaad Proctor | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Haarms | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tommy Luce | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Frost | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jared Wulbrun | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter